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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.07+1.91vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.01+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-0.66vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.27+0.33vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.33+1.80vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.36-1.91vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.60-1.21vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.17-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91University of Washington1.070.2%1st Place
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4.8Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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2.34University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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4.33University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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6.8Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.09Western Washington University0.360.1%1st Place
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5.79Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.93Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Smit | 21.1% | 27.3% | 19.3% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Nikoline Alden | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 7.8% |
| Erik Skeel | 35.8% | 27.3% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.4% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 4.0% |
| Mark Morrison | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 52.8% |
| Ben Morasch | 11.9% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Spencer Shear | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 25.3% | 22.3% |
| Lena Captain | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.