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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.27+3.19vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-0.70vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.60+1.76vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01-0.20vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.17-0.97vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.36-2.83vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.33-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Washington1.070.2%1st Place
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2.3University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.76Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.8Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.03Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.17Western Washington University0.360.1%1st Place
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6.75Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Minielly | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 3.9% |
| Laura Smit | 21.4% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Erik Skeel | 38.2% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Shear | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 22.6% |
| Nikoline Alden | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 7.3% |
| Lena Captain | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 11.2% |
| Ben Morasch | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Mark Morrison | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 20.8% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.