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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+0.73vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.36+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.62+2.75vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.60+0.33vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.17-1.41vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.01-2.61vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.33-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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2.73University of Washington1.070.2%1st Place
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3.77Western Washington University0.360.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
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5.33Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.59Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.39Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.33Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 40.9% | 26.6% | 18.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 24.5% | 25.7% | 22.1% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Morasch | 12.2% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Duncan Jackson | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 48.6% |
| Spencer Shear | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 10.1% |
| Lena Captain | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 5.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 8.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Mark Morrison | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 29.2% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.