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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.07+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.16vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.36+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.62+2.76vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.17-0.38vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.01-1.67vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.60-1.64vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.33-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Washington1.070.3%1st Place
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2.16University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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3.77Western Washington University0.360.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.62Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.33Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.36Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.33Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Smit | 26.7% | 24.9% | 22.0% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Erik Skeel | 38.5% | 29.9% | 16.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Morasch | 12.6% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Duncan Jackson | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 48.0% |
| Lena Captain | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 12.0% | 4.2% |
| Nikoline Alden | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Spencer Shear | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 22.1% | 12.6% |
| Mark Morrison | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 28.4% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.