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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.32vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.17+3.09vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.33+3.73vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.36+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.27-0.72vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.01-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.07-3.99vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.60-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.09Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.73Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.15Western Washington University0.360.1%1st Place
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4.28University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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4.73Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Washington1.070.2%1st Place
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5.7Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 37.3% | 25.8% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lena Captain | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 10.9% |
| Mark Morrison | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 16.6% | 54.6% |
| Ben Morasch | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Richard Minielly | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 4.1% |
| Nikoline Alden | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 7.1% |
| Laura Smit | 22.5% | 22.4% | 20.6% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Shear | 2.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 23.7% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.