← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.53+1.32vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.17+3.06vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.36+1.10vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-1.33+2.78vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.60+0.79vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.01-1.29vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington1.07-3.94vs Predicted
-
8University of British Columbia0.27-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
-
5.06Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
-
4.1Western Washington University0.360.1%1st Place
-
6.78Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
-
5.79Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
-
4.71Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.06University of Washington1.070.2%1st Place
-
4.18University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 35.2% | 27.8% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lena Captain | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 10.1% |
| Ben Morasch | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Mark Morrison | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 18.8% | 52.2% |
| Spencer Shear | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 25.4% | 21.5% |
| Nikoline Alden | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 13.1% | 8.1% |
| Laura Smit | 21.9% | 22.5% | 20.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.