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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.26vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+8.52vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.22+9.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+6.21vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.47+4.82vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.06vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+1.60vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-4.20vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.34vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-2.61vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-2.02vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.73-4.60vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.90vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-2.30vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.30-2.02vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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8.28Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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4.8Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.39College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.98Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.16George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.4University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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13.7Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.98Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 7.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.4% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 22.4% |
| Shaynah True | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 39.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.