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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.10vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+7.87vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73+6.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.88vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+3.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.11vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.30vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76+0.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.56vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.47-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.22+0.12vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.71+0.42vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-8.72vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-4.80vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.30-1.09vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.05-8.48vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.87Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.93University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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6.88Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.55Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.86Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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13.42Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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14.91Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.52Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.02Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Paris Henken | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 20.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.0% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Shaynah True | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 38.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.