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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+4.91vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.52vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+3.58vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.11+8.92vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+4.01vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-1.26vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+2.33vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.52+4.94vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.17-1.88vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.70-1.08vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-5.96vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.37-1.77vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.42vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.00-5.73vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.54-8.24vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.08-4.41vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-1.32-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1310.2%1st Place
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5.52University of Pennsylvania1.7711.4%1st Place
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6.58Jacksonville University1.709.0%1st Place
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12.92Hope College-0.111.5%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University1.075.1%1st Place
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7.46Old Dominion University1.267.5%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.4411.7%1st Place
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10.33Boston University1.072.9%1st Place
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13.94SUNY Maritime College-0.520.9%1st Place
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8.12Eckerd College1.176.0%1st Place
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9.92George Washington University0.703.8%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5811.9%1st Place
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11.23Florida State University0.372.9%1st Place
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12.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.9%1st Place
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9.27Connecticut College1.004.5%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University1.546.5%1st Place
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12.59Webb Institute-0.082.0%1st Place
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16.1University of Wisconsin-1.320.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 9.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 15.4% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.1% |
| William Hurd | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Marc Leyk | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 8.0% |
| Erin McDonagh | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.