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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+6.16vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.24vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.39vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+3.32vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01-1.09vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.60vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09+0.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+1.30vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.33vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.21vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.47-0.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.80vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-0.69vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.30-0.16vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.16vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.73-7.12vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.3George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.79Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.31Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.84Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.88University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.0Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.4% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Paris Henken | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 21.2% |
| Shaynah True | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 38.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.