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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+1.98vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+1.92vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.47+4.80vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.43vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09+0.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.67vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+0.48vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-1.27vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.73-1.92vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-2.79vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-4.72vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.71-1.40vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.58vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.30-2.02vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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4.98Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.92Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.8Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.43Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.48Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.73Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.08University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.21George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.28Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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13.6Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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14.98Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Paris Henken | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 20.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
| Shaynah True | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 40.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.