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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+5.15vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.73+5.65vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+5.23vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+4.28vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.71+6.55vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09+0.22vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.62vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-1.25vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-2.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.79vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.47-3.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.94vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.16vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.30-2.02vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.05-9.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.65University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.23George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.55Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.75Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.0Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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14.98Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.19Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| Paris Henken | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% |
| Shaynah True | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 40.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.