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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+9.20vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.44vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.47+6.44vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+3.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.04vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.73+1.41vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-4.23vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.19+1.87vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.22-0.05vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-2.71vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.86vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.30-1.21vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.71-3.52vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.58-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.2Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.96Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.26Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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4.77Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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11.87Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.95University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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14.79Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.48Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.93George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Paris Henken | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.5% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 8.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Shaynah True | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 38.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.