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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.19vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+8.67vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+5.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.47+6.47vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.22+5.54vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.90vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+1.05vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.34vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.73-1.33vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.19+0.01vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-8.33vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-4.33vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-8.32vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-7.74vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.71-3.45vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.30-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.28College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.47Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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11.54University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.05George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.67University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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12.01Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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4.67Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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9.67Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.26Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.55Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.54Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Paris Henken | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Lola Bushnell | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 20.7% |
| Shaynah True | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.