← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.51vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+4.97vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.01+1.84vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.89vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.47+5.48vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.58+4.18vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.73+2.51vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.88vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.85vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston3.09-1.67vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.71+2.55vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.05-3.46vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University2.61-3.12vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.75vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.50-4.62vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.19-4.19vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.72vs Predicted
-
18Jacksonville University1.30-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.51University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
6.97Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
4.84Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.48Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
-
10.18George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.51University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.33College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
13.55Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
8.54Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.88Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
11.25University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
-
10.38Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.81Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
-
11.28U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
14.56Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Paris Henken | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 22.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Shaynah True | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.