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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.43vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.44vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.72vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+3.01vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.73+3.56vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+3.06vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.22+3.44vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50+1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.49vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.01-6.10vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.19-0.02vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.21vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.30-0.29vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.61-5.88vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.47-6.30vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.71-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.43Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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10.41Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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4.9Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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11.98Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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14.71Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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13.31Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Paris Henken | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.3% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.2% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Shaynah True | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 35.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.