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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.63vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.29vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.89vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01-0.14vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.47+4.82vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.28vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.08vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+0.58vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.30+3.89vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.73-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.56vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.09-6.76vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-2.33vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-7.18vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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14.89Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.44University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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13.67Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.9% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Shaynah True | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 39.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Paris Henken | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 20.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.