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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+4.87vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.17+6.30vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+1.68vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.54+2.91vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70+0.51vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.00+2.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+2.61vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+0.15vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.70+0.06vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-4.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.74vs Predicted
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13Hope College-0.11+0.13vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.37-2.71vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.52-1.14vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.26-8.65vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.08-4.13vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-1.32-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1312.2%1st Place
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8.3Eckerd College1.175.9%1st Place
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5.69University of Pennsylvania1.7710.8%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.4412.3%1st Place
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7.91Fordham University1.546.5%1st Place
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6.51Jacksonville University1.709.7%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College1.004.7%1st Place
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10.61Boston University1.072.5%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University1.074.1%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University0.703.7%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5810.6%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.8%1st Place
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13.13Hope College-0.111.4%1st Place
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11.29Florida State University0.372.9%1st Place
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13.86SUNY Maritime College-0.521.1%1st Place
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7.35Old Dominion University1.267.0%1st Place
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12.87Webb Institute-0.081.6%1st Place
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16.09University of Wisconsin-1.320.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Porter Bell | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 9.8% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 16.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 8.3% |
| Erin McDonagh | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.