← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.05+7.63vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.30vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.01+2.02vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.42+2.89vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.58+5.26vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.22+5.75vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.57vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.38vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.73+0.72vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.76-0.12vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.61-0.63vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University1.30+3.08vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston3.09-4.83vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.75-4.70vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.71vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.81vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College2.47-6.12vs Predicted
-
18Christopher Newport University1.71-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.63Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
5.02Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
6.89Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.26George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.75University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
-
5.43University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.72University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.88Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
-
10.37Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
15.08Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.17College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.3Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
11.29U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
10.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
10.88Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
-
13.47Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.7% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Shaynah True | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 42.7% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.