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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+8.87vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.61vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+5.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+3.38vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.22+5.73vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73+2.69vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.36vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+1.20vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.01-4.88vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-0.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.37vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.47-2.40vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.18vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-8.14vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-6.31vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.30-2.07vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.71-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.38Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.12Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.47George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.63U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.6Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.69Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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14.93Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.46Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Shaynah True | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 16.4% | 39.8% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.