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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.32vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.61vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.53vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.40vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+0.90vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-2.11vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09+0.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.30vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.730.00vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-1.22vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-1.30vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-2.93vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-0.67vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.30-0.11vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.86vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.47-6.06vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.61Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.53Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.9Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.89Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.11College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.0University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.78Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.7George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.33Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.89Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.1% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 20.7% |
| Shaynah True | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 39.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.