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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.07vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.65vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+4.10vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.12vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.53vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.47+2.64vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.06vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+0.60vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.73-1.12vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-2.04vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.22-1.42vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.30+0.63vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-5.43vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.61-5.73vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.71-3.26vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.1Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.88University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.96Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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14.63Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.57Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.74Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.3% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.8% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Shaynah True | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 36.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 19.3% | 22.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.