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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+9.40vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+5.34vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.19+7.54vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.32vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+2.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.21vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.85vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.47+0.82vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-4.10vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.71+1.71vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.15vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-3.30vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-5.01vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.34vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.30-2.19vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.73-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.34College of Charleston3.090.0%1st Place
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11.54Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.45Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.21Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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13.71Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.7George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.99Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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14.81Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.3University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 15.3% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Paris Henken | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 21.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Shaynah True | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 37.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.