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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+10.14vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.26vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+6.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.78vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.46+4.62vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+2.44vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+1.93vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.96vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.17vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.86+1.22vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-2.07vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.36+0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.50vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-3.64vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.59-2.81vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-8.69vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.67-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.14U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.04College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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12.22Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.71Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.36Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.19University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.31Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.61Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Riley Legault | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% |
| Paula Resto | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 12.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Samara Leith | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 26.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 20.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.