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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+11.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+9.26vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+6.07vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+2.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+1.86vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.59+4.03vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04+1.71vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-2.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.88vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-7.05vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-8.11vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.86-2.96vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.15vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.46-7.18vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.36-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.07Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.03University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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11.71Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.55George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.95College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.04Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.82Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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13.76Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 17.6% |
| Grace Howie | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Riley Legault | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Paula Resto | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Samara Leith | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.