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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+8.06vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+10.21vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+5.36vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.05vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+0.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.19vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+1.43vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.59+4.12vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.46-0.04vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.07vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.86+0.48vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.36+0.75vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.76-5.82vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.93vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.08vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.04-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.04Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.05College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.43Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.12University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.96Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.93Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.48Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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13.75Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.18George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.14Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Christine Moloney | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 17.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Paula Resto | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 15.1% |
| Samara Leith | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 26.9% |
| Riley Legault | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Grace Howie | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.