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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+11.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+7.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+4.70vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+1.09vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.74vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+0.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.59+4.11vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-0.85vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.86+1.24vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-5.55vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-3.58vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-2.85vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-9.29vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.36-2.04vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.83vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-8.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.92Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.7Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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8.38George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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13.11University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.24Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.15Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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13.96Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Riley Legault | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 18.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Paula Resto | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samara Leith | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 27.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.