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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+7.87vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+3.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.70vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+4.42vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+1.08vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.86+3.96vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.44vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-1.39vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.36+2.89vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-0.26vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-4.28vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.28vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.35vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.59-2.86vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-5.06vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.67-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.87Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.22College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.96Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.61George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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13.89Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.74Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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13.14University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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11.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.53Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Paula Resto | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Riley Legault | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Samara Leith | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 26.8% |
| Grace Howie | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 18.8% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.