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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+8.04vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.86+10.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+3.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.41vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.46+4.58vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+2.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.28vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.73vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.67-0.32vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-1.36vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-1.42vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-0.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-7.03vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-1.28vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-9.04vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.87-4.87vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.36-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.34Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.22College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.58Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.68Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.64George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.58Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.7Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.72University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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5.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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13.66Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Paula Resto | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Riley Legault | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte List | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Grace Howie | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 17.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% |
| Samara Leith | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 17.2% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.