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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+8.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.07vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.44vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+4.52vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+4.61vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+0.39vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.69vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.86+4.16vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04+2.57vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.46+0.12vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-4.59vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-3.34vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59+0.04vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.89vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.22vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.86vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.36-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.52George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.39Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.16Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.57Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.12Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.04University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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12.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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13.83Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Paula Resto | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 19.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% |
| Samara Leith | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.