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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+5.41vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+6.46vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+6.93vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+7.34vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+3.53vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.72vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.46+2.85vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.87vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.43vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-4.63vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-5.24vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59+0.05vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.22vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.15vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.36-1.95vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-7.76vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.86-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.46Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.34Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.53George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.85Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.43U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.37Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.76Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.05University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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14.05Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.09Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Grace Howie | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% |
| Riley Legault | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 18.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Samara Leith | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 28.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Paula Resto | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.