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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.87+9.50vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+4.22vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+4.63vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.46+3.94vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-0.70vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-1.64vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76-0.39vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.94vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-0.10vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.82vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-7.91vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.86-2.81vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.23vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.59-3.61vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.35-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.94Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.3College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.61George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.37Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.9Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.19Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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13.39University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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13.88Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Grace Howie | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 21.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.