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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.12vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+8.20vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+7.18vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+2.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+1.38vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+0.27vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.68vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.86+4.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.87+3.25vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-1.43vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-2.32vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.41vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59+0.05vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-5.15vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-5.35vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.35-1.89vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.39vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.04-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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10.18Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.38Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.27College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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12.15Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.68George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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13.05University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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14.11Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.4Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Paula Resto | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Riley Legault | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 19.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 29.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.