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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.14vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+8.07vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.52vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+2.29vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+4.71vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+5.60vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.87+3.27vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.59+2.35vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-2.54vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-4.84vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.93vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-6.42vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.37-9.68vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.35-2.76vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.86-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.07Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.52Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.71Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.6Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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9.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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13.35University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.46Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.58George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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14.24Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.11Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 20.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Riley Legault | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 31.1% |
| Paula Resto | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.