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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.46+9.13vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+8.01vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+5.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.90vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+2.33vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.91vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+1.00vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-2.80vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-3.41vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.87+0.59vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.35+0.89vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-1.06vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-8.82vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.19vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.86-4.52vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.04-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.85George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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6.2College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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13.89Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.94University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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12.48Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.34Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haddon Hughes | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Charlotte List | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Riley Legault | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.9% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 27.8% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 16.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Paula Resto | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% |
| Grace Howie | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.