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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.17vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+8.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.24vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.59+8.12vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.46+4.03vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+2.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+3.18vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.86+3.39vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-1.08vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-1.70vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.84vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-6.81vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.30vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.33-8.58vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.04-4.24vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-8.56vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.35-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.49Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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13.12University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.03Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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12.39Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.3Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.19College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.42Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.76Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.44Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.02Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 20.2% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Paula Resto | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.