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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+7.90vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+8.02vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+7.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+7.15vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.95vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+0.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.97vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.75vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.67vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.59+3.50vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.04vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.38vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-1.51vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.81vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-6.71vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-6.76vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.86-4.54vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.35-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.2Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.46Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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13.5University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.49Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.29Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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12.46Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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13.98Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte List | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 21.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Paula Resto | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.