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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+9.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+3.46vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+5.68vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.34vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.81vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.46+1.88vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.59+3.47vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.34vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-5.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-3.99vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.02vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.86-3.53vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.35-2.75vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.84-9.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.62George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.88Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.47University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.31Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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12.47Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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14.25Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Riley Legault | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 19.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Grace Howie | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Paula Resto | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 30.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.