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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.78+6.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.49+6.28vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.95vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.89+2.62vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University5.19+0.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.99+3.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+4.72vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.95vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-1.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.06vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56+0.60vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.76-1.16vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-1.38vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston3.21-1.30vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.23vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.19vs Predicted
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18Washington College3.65-5.83vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston4.34-10.15vs Predicted
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20Queen's University0.79-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.28Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.95St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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5.46Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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12.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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8.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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12.6Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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12.62University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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13.7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.210.0%1st Place
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9.77SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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10.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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12.17Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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19.27Queen's University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Gary Herring | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 2.6% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 0.9% |
| David Thompson | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 1.3% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 1.2% |
| Will Stocke | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 2.0% |
| Jasmine Baloch | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 3.5% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Graham Hutchings | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 84.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.