← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
30
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.51+5.69vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.23+5.29vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University3.14+5.30vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+5.62vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.86+10.02vs Predicted
-
6Santa Barbara City College1.61+10.58vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+9.97vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University1.31+10.03vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania1.87+5.84vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University2.38+2.11vs Predicted
-
11Boston University3.42-4.04vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.08vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.32-0.74vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.93vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University2.71-4.89vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California1.96-1.83vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.72-6.65vs Predicted
-
18California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-7.51vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles0.61+2.94vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.56vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Irvine1.06-1.46vs Predicted
-
22Northwestern University1.93-7.72vs Predicted
-
23University of Southern California2.33-10.61vs Predicted
-
24Santa Clara University0.59-1.99vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.31vs Predicted
-
26Oregon State University0.88-5.10vs Predicted
-
27Oregon State University0.88-6.10vs Predicted
-
28University of California at San Diego0.39-5.03vs Predicted
-
29Western Washington University0.52-6.97vs Predicted
-
30University of Washington-0.12-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.69Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
7.29College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.3Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
-
15.02Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
16.58Santa Barbara City College1.610.0%1st Place
-
16.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
18.03Texas A&M University1.310.0%1st Place
-
14.84University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
-
12.11Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
6.96Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
-
12.26Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
9.07U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
10.11Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
14.17University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
-
10.35Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
-
10.49California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
21.94University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
21.56University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
-
19.54University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
14.28Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
12.39University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
-
22.01Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
23.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
-
20.9Oregon State University0.880.0%1st Place
-
20.9Oregon State University0.880.0%1st Place
-
22.97University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
22.03Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
-
24.87University of Washington-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Long | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Levy | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Levy | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wolcott | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.