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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
30
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.71+9.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+4.26vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+7.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+3.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+2.72vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+4.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.10vs Predicted
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8Santa Barbara City College1.61+8.70vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.14-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.96+4.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06+8.97vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.32+0.87vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.66vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.53+2.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.61+7.10vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.38-3.99vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University0.88+4.02vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.86-2.98vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-9.18vs Predicted
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20Northwestern University1.93-5.17vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University0.52+1.61vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University0.59-0.04vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+1.15vs Predicted
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24University of Southern California2.33-11.32vs Predicted
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25Oregon State University0.88-3.98vs Predicted
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26Texas A&M University1.31-7.38vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego0.39-3.45vs Predicted
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28University of California at Berkeley0.64-5.75vs Predicted
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29University of Pennsylvania1.87-13.91vs Predicted
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30U. S. Naval Academy2.88-20.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.66Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.26Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.65Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.72College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.98California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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16.7Santa Barbara City College1.610.0%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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14.67University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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19.97University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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12.87Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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16.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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16.97University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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22.1University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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12.01Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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21.02Oregon State University0.880.0%1st Place
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15.02Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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14.83Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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22.61Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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21.96Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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24.15University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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21.02Oregon State University0.880.0%1st Place
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18.62Texas A&M University1.310.0%1st Place
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23.55University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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22.25University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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15.09University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cappetta | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Long | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Levy | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Levy | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.