← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.7
Avg Position Diff
30
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.51+5.65vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.61+19.61vs Predicted
-
3Santa Barbara City College1.61+14.21vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.87+11.55vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.72+5.29vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California1.96+8.82vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University3.14+1.43vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.23-0.36vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+0.29vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University2.38+2.27vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.05vs Predicted
-
12Boston University3.42-4.90vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.68vs Predicted
-
14University of Southern California2.33-1.66vs Predicted
-
15Santa Clara University0.59+7.14vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.32-3.65vs Predicted
-
17Northwestern University1.93-1.85vs Predicted
-
18Western Washington University0.52+4.19vs Predicted
-
19Fordham University2.71-8.41vs Predicted
-
20Roger Williams University1.86-4.61vs Predicted
-
21Oregon State University0.88-0.12vs Predicted
-
22University of Washington1.53-4.94vs Predicted
-
23Texas A&M University1.31-4.29vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.71vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.93vs Predicted
-
26Oregon State University0.88-5.12vs Predicted
-
27California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-15.61vs Predicted
-
28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-10.80vs Predicted
-
29University of California at Irvine1.06-9.28vs Predicted
-
30University of California at San Diego0.39-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.65Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
21.61University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
17.21Santa Barbara City College1.610.0%1st Place
-
15.55University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
-
10.29Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
14.82University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.43Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.64College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
-
12.27Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.1Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.32U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
12.34University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
-
22.14Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
12.35Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
15.15Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
22.19Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
-
10.59Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
-
15.39Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
20.88Oregon State University0.880.0%1st Place
-
17.06University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
-
18.71Texas A&M University1.310.0%1st Place
-
22.29University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
-
24.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
-
20.88Oregon State University0.880.0%1st Place
-
11.39California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
17.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
19.72University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
23.42University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Long | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Levy | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Levy | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.