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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.89+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.88+3.04vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+0.06vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.15+5.10vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.95+1.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.99-0.32vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.96-3.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.41+0.45vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.52-2.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.80-4.80vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.90vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.92-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Hawaii2.890.3%1st Place
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5.04University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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10.1California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Hawaii0.990.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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9.08Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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10.1California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Eaton IV | 29.4% | 24.4% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 15.5% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 23.3% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Erjavec | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 47.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.