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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.06+6.41vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+5.50vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+2.95vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.95+3.91vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.15+5.14vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.33-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.89-4.19vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.41+3.26vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.14vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.88-4.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.80-3.61vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.52-3.88vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.92-1.79vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California1.96-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Hawaii0.990.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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10.14California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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2.81University of Hawaii2.890.3%1st Place
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11.26University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.14California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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9.12Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MacLean | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 14.1% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 30.5% | 23.6% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 22.2% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Erjavec | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 20.1% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.