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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.89+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.88+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.98vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.95+1.93vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52+1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.99-0.35vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06-2.42vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.96-5.94vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.80-3.71vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.41-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.92-1.69vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Hawaii2.890.3%1st Place
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3.93University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.98University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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8.77Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Hawaii0.990.1%1st Place
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10.07California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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8.29University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.31University of California at Santa Barbara-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.07California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Eaton IV | 29.3% | 23.7% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 17.2% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 8.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.4% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Erjavec | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 49.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.