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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.59+4.88vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.89+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.95+4.79vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96+1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.99+2.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+1.60vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-3.08vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.88-2.76vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.04vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.52-1.92vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.80-3.74vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.41-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.92-1.74vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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2.87University of Hawaii2.890.3%1st Place
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7.79University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Hawaii0.990.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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10.06California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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9.08Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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8.26University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Santa Barbara-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.06California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louise Currie | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 29.7% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 17.7% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Erjavec | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 49.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.