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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.89+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.88+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.95+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.40+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.41+2.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.80-1.53vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15-0.81vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.52-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.59-7.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.92-1.70vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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2.9University of Hawaii2.890.3%1st Place
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5.25University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Hawaii1.400.1%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.47University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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10.19California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.16Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.19California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 17.0% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 29.4% | 22.9% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Galli | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 24.8% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Erjavec | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 20.5% | 46.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.