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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.89+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.88+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.40+3.57vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59+1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.95+2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.41+4.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.96-3.82vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.52-0.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.80-2.56vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.06-4.40vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.92-0.68vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.98vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Hawaii2.890.3%1st Place
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5.15University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Hawaii1.400.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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6.19University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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9.24Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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8.44University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Santa Barbara-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.02California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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10.02California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Eaton IV | 29.4% | 22.8% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Galli | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 15.1% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 23.8% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Erjavec | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 18.2% | 50.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.