← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University5.19+4.51vs Predicted
-
2Washington College3.65+9.99vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.76+8.60vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.06vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.89+1.60vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.56+6.42vs Predicted
-
7Brown University4.49+1.50vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.69vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+3.91vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.12vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami3.99-0.44vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-5.00vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College4.15-2.82vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-5.59vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.18vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University4.78-8.97vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University at Galveston3.21-3.31vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida3.49-5.22vs Predicted
-
19College of Charleston4.34-10.14vs Predicted
-
20Queen's University0.79-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.51Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
-
11.99Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
-
11.6Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
-
11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
-
6.6Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
12.42Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
-
8.5Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
8.69U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
12.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
12.12University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
-
10.56University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
-
7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
-
10.18SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
-
8.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
-
10.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
-
7.03Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
13.69Texas A&M University at Galveston3.210.0%1st Place
-
12.78University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.86College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
-
19.27Queen's University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Vann | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 1.7% |
| Halsey Richartz | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Menninger | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| David Thompson | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Baloch | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 3.6% |
| Will Stocke | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 1.7% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Graham Hutchings | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.