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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+4.02vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.89+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.88+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.59+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.40+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-2.98vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.95-0.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06-1.36vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.80-2.60vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.52-2.87vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.41-1.63vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.92-1.70vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Hawaii2.890.3%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Hawaii1.400.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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7.85University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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10.22California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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8.4University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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9.13Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.22California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 28.0% | 24.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Kai Galli | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 17.1% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 23.4% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Erjavec | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 18.1% | 48.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.